HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc - A
$85.68
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
ARKK holding · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $94.40–95.66 | +10.2% to +11.6% | wk high 05-29, wk low 10-16, wk low ’25-09-05 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $83.68 | -2.3% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $77.10 | -10.0% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $93.36 | +9.0% | top of R1 (wk low 08-21, 50% retr.) |
APPENDIX · HOOD · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 8.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 5 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 8.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Neutral → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 20.3
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 0.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 0 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — negative & falling | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 17.8 / 20 |
| Raw | 20.3 (Established Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 20.3 Established Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (HOOD close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -17.11% | -13.14% | Early Up ≥ 102.87 · Est. Down < 102.32 |
| Trend · XLF | 5 Established Down (−) → | -18.14% | -15.54% | Early Up ≥ 104.33 · Est. Down < 103.78 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -8.01% | -4.58% | Early Up ≥ 92.97 · Est. Down < 92.47 |
| Trading · XLF | 5 Established Down (−) → | -11.18% | -6.86% | Early Up ≥ 96.05 · Est. Down < 95.53 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 85.68)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 99.00–101.71 | +15.5% to +18.7% | wk low ’25-08-22 99.00 · wk low 09-04 100.68 · wk low 09-18 101.71 |
| R2 | 94.40–95.66 | +10.2% to +11.6% | wk high 05-29 94.40 · wk low 10-16 94.52 · wk low ’25-09-05 95.66 |
| R1 | 91.44–93.36 | +6.7% to +9.0% | wk low 08-21 91.44 · 50% 91.76 · 40-wk SMA 91.79 · 200-day SMA 92.34 · wk low 06-26 92.80 · wk high 04-17 93.32 · wk low ’25-08-01 93.36 |
| S1 | 83.68–84.75 | -1.1% to -2.3% | wk high 03-06 84.75 · wk low 07-31 83.68 |
| S2 | 77.10–78.93 | -7.9% to -10.0% | wk low 06-12 78.93 · wk high ’25-06-06 77.80 · 61.8% 77.10 |
| S3 | 69.22–70.43 | -17.8% to -19.2% | wk low 02-13 70.43 · wk low 05-01 69.93 · wk low 02-27 69.22 |
| ATH | 153.86 | +79.6% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 83.68 (-2.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 77.10–78.93.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 77.10 (-10.0%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 69.22–70.43.
- Trend vs S&P: above its 16-wk avg ≥ 102.87 · Est. Down < 102.32 (+19.4%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Early Up ≥ 92.97 · Est. Down < 92.47.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://assets.ark-funds.com/fund-documents/funds-etf-csv/ARK_INNOVATION_ETF_ARKK_HOLDINGS.csv (official ARK daily holdings CSV, date column 11/03/2026)); ETF weight 2.86%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLF (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
