BMNR
Bitmine Immersion Technologi
$20.53
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
ARKK holding · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $22.16–22.81 | +7.9% to +11.1% | wk low 09-18, wk high 02-27, wk low 09-04 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $20.05 | -2.3% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $17.82 | -13.2% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $20.83 | +1.5% | top of R1 (wk low 10-16, 200-day SMA) |
APPENDIX · BMNR · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 12.5
| Short history (74 wks): RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 4.6 + 2.3 |
| Structure (computable checks) | 0 / 25 |
| Score = points earned × 100 / 55 computable points | 12.5 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays, on the history that exists) | confirmed Up; Down pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · – Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA n/a (short history) · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Down. |
Scores · Trading 11.0
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 0.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 3 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost) | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 5.5 / 20 |
| Raw | 11.0 (Established Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 11.0 Established Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (BMNR close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -6.83% | -5.86% | Est. Up ≥ 22.10 (+7.6%) · Est. Down < 14.37 |
| Trend · XLF | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -8.14% | -8.47% | Est. Up ≥ 22.45 (+9.4%) · Est. Down < 14.37 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -4.49% | -3.32% | Est. Up ≥ 27.56 (+34.2%) · Early Up ≥ 21.54 · Est. Down < 21.42 |
| Trading · XLF | 5 Established Down (−) → | -7.75% | -5.63% | Early Up ≥ 22.24 · Est. Down < 22.12 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 20.53)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 23.47–24.11 | +14.3% to +17.4% | wk high 05-08 23.47 · wk high 03-20 23.85 · wk high 04-17 24.11 |
| R2 | 22.16–22.81 | +7.9% to +11.1% | wk low 09-18 22.16 · wk high 02-27 22.17 · wk low 09-04 22.81 |
| R1 | 20.55–20.83 | +0.1% to +1.5% | wk low 10-16 20.55 · 200-day SMA 20.83 |
| S1 | 20.05–20.34 | -0.9% to -2.3% | 40-wk SMA 20.34 · wk low 05-01 20.19 · wk high 05-29 20.05 |
| S2 | 17.82–17.84 | -13.1% to -13.2% | wk low 04-03 17.84 · wk high 06-19 17.82 |
| ATH | 161.00 | +684.2% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 20.05 (-2.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 17.82–17.84.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 17.82 (-13.2%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to the next lower level (none computed).
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 22.10 (+7.6%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 22.10 · Est. Down < 14.37 (-30.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 27.56 · Early Up ≥ 21.54 · Est. Down < 21.42.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://assets.ark-funds.com/fund-documents/funds-etf-csv/ARK_INNOVATION_ETF_ARKK_HOLDINGS.csv (official ARK daily holdings CSV, date column 11/03/2026)); ETF weight 1.64%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLF (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Short history (74 wks): under the 104 weekly bars of a full card. Checks that need more history (Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA) are left out of both the points earned and the points possible, and the score is rescaled to 0–100 (55 points computable). Trend shows N/A under 10 weekly bars or when fewer than 30 points can be computed. The 2-Friday confirmation uses the history that exists. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
