AMD

APPENDIX · AMD · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

Scores · Trend 48.3

RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10)	0.0 + 4.0 = 4.0 / 30
Structure (6 checks)	25 / 30
Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60	48.3 / 100
Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45)	Neutral
Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays)	confirmed Up; Neutral pending 1/2
Trend (confirmed)	Up
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5 Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only).

Scores · Trading 29.5

RS (S&P 20 + sector 10)	0.0 + 0.0 / 30
Structure	16 / 25
Coppock (daily) — negative & falling	2.5 / 25
Band position	11.0 / 20
Raw	29.5 (Established Down)
Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2)	+0
Final	29.5 Established Down
✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5

Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)

Horizon · benchmark	State	RS vs SMA	RS chg	Phase-transition price (AMD close needed)
Trend · S&P	5 Established Down (−) →	-2.97%	-3.53%	Est. Up ≥ 557.34 (+15.2%) · Early Up ≥ 522.73 · Est. Down < 519.95
Trend · XLK	3 Neutral (−) ↑	-0.21%	-2.42%	Est. Up ≥ 541.09 (+11.8%) · Early Up ≥ 507.13 · Est. Down < 504.43
Trading · S&P	5 Established Down (−) →	-8.01%	-12.86%	Early Up ≥ 525.01 · Est. Down < 522.21
Trading · XLK	5 Established Down (−) →	-4.89%	-8.65%	Est. Up ≥ 650.93 (+34.5%) · Early Up ≥ 508.69 · Est. Down < 505.98

Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 483.90)

Band	Range	Distance	Tools in the cluster
R2	574.20–584.73	+18.7% to +20.8%	wk high 07-17 574.20 · wk high 07-03 584.73
R1	517.35–530.13	+6.9% to +9.6%	wk high 08-21 517.35 · wk high 08-07 530.13
S1	437.23–440.50	-9.0% to -9.6%	wk low 09-04 440.50 · wk low 06-12 437.23
S2	412.94–424.03	-12.4% to -14.7%	wk low 07-31 424.03 · 50% 423.77 · 40-wk SMA 416.84 · 200-day SMA 412.94
S3	263.51–267.08	-44.8% to -45.5%	wk high ’25-10-31 267.08 · wk high 01-23 266.96 · wk high ’25-11-14 263.51
ATH	658.52	+36.1%	all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used)

Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)

Stops & phase transitions

Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 437.23 (-9.6%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 412.94–424.03.
Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 412.94 (-14.7%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 263.51–267.08.
Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 557.34 (+15.2%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 522.73 · Est. Down < 519.95 (+7.4%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
Trading vs S&P: Early Up ≥ 525.01 · Est. Down < 522.21.

Sluymer context

2026-09-15 chartbook: “AMD held in relatively well despite this week’s volatility with 435 important support and a stop loss level.”
2026-09-22 chartbook: “AMD has resolved its summer trading range to the upside with 684 followed by 845 next extension/pause levels.”
2026-09-29 chartbook: “AMD has resolved its Q3 consolidation to the upside with a short-term pause underway above 550-584 support.”
2026-10-06 chartbook: “AMD is overbought short-term but its recent breakout from the Q3 trading suggests pullbacks will be short lived with first support between 550-585.”
2026-10-13 chartbook: “AMD is pulling back with first support in a wide band between 521-584 with next support and key stop loss level at 424. 38”

Notes & caveats

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://assets.ark-funds.com/fund-documents/funds-etf-csv/ARK_INNOVATION_ETF_ARKK_HOLDINGS.csv (official ARK daily holdings CSV, date column 11/03/2026)); ETF weight 1.62%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLK (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).

Buy zone (breakout retest)	—	—	no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone
Profit-Taking Zone	$574.20–584.73	+18.7% to +20.8%	wk high 07-17, wk high 07-03
Trading stop · daily close	below $437.23	-9.6%	trading downgrade
Trend stop · Friday close	below $412.94	-14.7%	trend downgrade one state
Breakout Buy Level	close above $530.13	+9.6%	top of R1 (wk high 08-21, wk high 08-07)

Action levels

Trend at a glance